The price of $XRP increased by about 17% over the course of a day, and trading volume increased by well over 100% on a number of significant exchanges, making it one of the strongest trading sessions in months.
$XRP breaks the key threshold
The combination implies that significant market participation, as opposed to thin liquidity, is supporting the most recent move. After beginning its acceleration at $1.15, $XRP reached about $1.40 during the session. Spot volume was close to $3 billion, while futures volume reached about $13 billion.
Even more significant shifts were seen on individual exchanges: Bitget's volume increased by 134%, Bybit's by 141%, OKX's by 146%, and Binance's by roughly 114%. The breakout has significantly altered $XRP's short-term structure technically. After successfully regaining the moving averages between $1.04 and $1.16, the asset attacked the long-term moving average around $1.34.
Because $XRP has traded below this level during the larger decline, it is especially significant. Setting $1.34 as support would offer much more convincing proof that the market is moving away from its prior bearish structure. $XRP is severely overheated, which is the only immediate issue.
Is $XRP overbought already?
The daily RSI has surged to about 82, which is well within overbought territory. That greatly raises the likelihood of short-term volatility and profit-taking, but it does not necessarily indicate an impending reversal, especially during a high-volume breakout. Positioning in derivatives is also important. Binance's long/short account ratios are roughly 2.76, while top traders' ratios are about 2.83.
These ratios are significantly skewed toward longs. If momentum abruptly stops, crowded positioning may intensify the correction. The previous consolidation area, which is located between $1.45 and $1.50, comes after the next resistance, which is located around $1.40. The bull-run argument could be significantly strengthened by a clear continuation through those levels.
On the other hand, $XRP does not always have to go upward. An important test of the market's recently reclaimed territory would be a retracement toward $1.30–$1.34. Volume is currently supporting the breakout. Whether $XRP can hold onto the long-term moving average after the initial buying surge subsides is the more important question.