$XRP has entered the same macro buy warning zone as Bitcoin, a development that marks the beginning of major multi-year accumulation windows.
This rare signal has often appeared near the start of multi-year accumulation periods, and this has led many market participants to believe the current phase could present an attractive entry point if the market follows its historical cycle.
$XRP Rebounds After a Deep Correction
Currently, $XRP trades at around $1.12 after recovering slightly from the cycle low recorded in late June. The token briefly fell to $1.01, bringing it within touching distance of the important $1 psychological support level for the first time in about 19 months.
The decline completed a massive correction that erased more than half of $XRP’s value from its cycle peak of $3.6, reached during the summer of 2025. Now, $XRP has entered a buy warning zone similar to the one it slipped into in 2024 before the meteoric surge.
This structure began with the major pivot low of $0.3823 formed in July 2024. From there, $XRP completed a five-wave rally amid stronger trading volume and a breakout above a Fibonacci extension level, pushing toward the $3.6 all-time high in July 2025.
However, from here, $XRP has continued to correct. The latest pullback still looks like a normal correction, not the start of a new bearish trend, and seems similar to the same demand zone from July 2024.
Notably, Bitcoin has also slipped into such buy warning zone. However, the current low has not yet produced the signals that have marked every major $XRP bottom in the past.
A confirmed bottom would require a one-two-three-four-five impulse within about four weeks, rising trading volume throughout the move, and a close above the key Fibonacci level. Until these signals appear, the chances that $XRP has already reached its cycle bottom remain lower.
Important Price Levels Remain in Focus
The first major resistance level sits near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at about $1.18. Above that, the 20-period exponential moving average stands near $1.22, a level that has stopped every recent recovery attempt.
On-chain cost basis data also points to these areas as major resistance. About 22.8 million $XRP sits between $1.18 and $1.19, while another 27.4 million $XRP is concentrated between $1.21 and $1.22. That supply could make it more difficult for buyers to push prices higher.
Support remains just as important. $XRP continues to hold above the $1 level, but a clear move below that price could open the door to a decline toward $0.80.
If the token falls below the 0.5 Fibonacci level near $1.02, attention could shift to the 0.618 Fibonacci level around $0.87. This area aligns with a stronger support zone where the next major market bottom could develop.
What Comes Next for $XRP?
Although $XRP has entered the same macro buy warning zone as Bitcoin, the market still needs stronger confirmation before calling a major bottom. Traders should watch for rising trading volume, a breakout above the key Fibonacci level, and a complete five-wave impulse forming within about four weeks from the cycle low.
Every major $XRP bottom has shown this combination of signals. Notably, analysts such as Casi and EGRAG Crypto still believe $XRP could make one more lower low before the correction ends.