Bitcoin has surged above $80,000 in recent days. While some analysts argue this rise signals an early bull run, the latest assessment comes from Grayscale Research Head Zach Pandl.
Zach Pandl, discussing the correlation between Bitcoin and gold, noted a remarkable shift in Bitcoin’s behavior in the markets.
At this point, Pandl noted that Bitcoin’s 90-day correlation with gold had risen from near zero at the beginning of the year to over 50%, while its correlation with the Nasdaq 100 had fallen from over 60% to approximately 33%.
According to Pandl, this shift indicates that investors are beginning to re-approach Bitcoin not just as a high-risk technology asset, but as an asset with scarcity, monetary independence, and a store of value.
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Pandl stated that one of the key factors behind the strengthening relationship between Bitcoin and gold is the US fiscal outlook.
According to Pandl, the US federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, ongoing budget deficits, and rising long-term Treasury bond yields are reigniting investor concerns about the dollar’s long-term purchasing power. In this environment, “depreciation trading,” which refers to a shift towards scarce assets to hedge against currency devaluation, is gaining prominence again.
In this context, Pandl points out that Bitcoin stands out as a scarce asset that can be valued alongside gold in such an environment, due to its lack of a central issuer, transparent supply rules, and a maximum supply limited to 21 million units.
The Grayscale executive concluded by adding that current macroeconomic conditions could create a more favorable market environment for Bitcoin and other scarce digital assets.
*This is not investment advice.